Weekly Alpha Recap #193 | 10–16 August
SEC delays and cancels tokenization/crypto rule proposals. 10 project highlights and 19 projects in the Probably sheet.
TL;DR
News
Macro & Institutions
SEC reportedly poised to unveil major crypto plans as federal Clarity Act stalls
Cboe seeks SEC approval for first US 3x Bitcoin and Ether ETFs
Fidelity files to let its Ethereum ETF stake ETH and pay quarterly cash distributions
Goldman Sachs to acquire Neos, gaining ready-made bitcoin and ETH income ETF business
Paul Tudor Jones’ firm increases stake in BlackRock bitcoin ETF after prior selling
Harvard leaves bitcoin ETF stake unchanged in Q2 after prior cut
Grayscale withdraws ADA, DOT and HBAR ETF registration applications
NYSE developing on-chain settlement platform for tokenized securities
Crypto.com launches tokenized stock derivatives as exchanges push into equities
Coinbase establishes tokenization hub in Abu Dhabi with FSRA permission
Robinhood launches AI-powered no-fee crypto trading in the UK
OCC grants conditional approval to Trump-backed World Liberty National Trust bank
Binance to block transactions with HTX and 10 other exchanges under EU/Russia sanctions
Singapore tax authority IRAS releases new crypto reporting framework
CME launches futures on AI computing power, creating tradable pricing for compute
BitMine increases Ethereum holdings to 5.81M ETH after recent purchases
Bitwise cuts about 14% of staff amid prolonged crypto market slump
Keel (ex‑Bitfarms) shutters all US Bitcoin mining operations amid AI pivot
Why a major bitcoin-mining jurisdiction is shutting down rigs in its capital
Stablecoins & Hyperliquid
Bank of England to test stablecoin and digital currency in cross-border finance
Anchorpoint (Standard Chartered subsidiary) launches phase 1 of Hong Kong stablecoin
Hyperliquid explores US market entry for perpetual futures; treasury profits triple
Neutrl pauses minting, redemptions and protocol functions on legal advice
StablecoinX reports Q2 results and discloses large ENA token treasury
Wallets & UX
Brazil to impose 24-hour wait on transfers to self-custody wallets to curb fraud
BTCPay Server supporters offer up to 3 BTC recovery bounty after critical exploit
Phantom integrates Google Pay to let users fund wallets with cash
BitGo launches Bitcoin quantum-resistance check tool for addresses
DeFiSaver launches Token Saver to recover assets from dormant smart wallets
Prediction Markets
CFTC invokes emergency authority to keep Kalshi trading amid New York lawsuit
FlightAware drops lawsuit against Kalshi one day after filing
Washington court orders Kalshi to halt most offerings; related legal actions continue
Trump to attend White House meeting with crypto and prediction market executives
JPMorgan ended banking relationship with Polymarket last year
Trepa (Solana prediction market) and Flash Trade (Solana perps) wind down/shut down
Token Launches & Claims
Protocol & DeFi Updates
Solana nearly halted after routing failure knocked out ~29% of staked SOL
Harmony exploited; attacker minted ~4 billion ONE tokens and moved funds to exchanges
Ravencoin may roll back four days of transactions after critical block flaw
Bitcoin BIP-110 minority fork lags main chain by ~300 blocks
Vitalik outlines Ethereum roadmap focusing on privacy and quantum resistance
XRP bridge drained for ~$200,000 after software accepted fake deposits
EthFi launches automated buyback program from protocol revenue
Infra, Dev & Culture
OpenAI launches GPT-5.6-Cyber for authorized cybersecurity research
Anthropic to embed invisible watermarks in Claude-generated text
Cloudflare exec says bot traffic will dwarf human traffic within years
AI assistant exploited Australian gym website, altered waitlist
North Korea’s Kimsuky group using local AI tools to target crypto firms
Wintermute plans $1 billion AI/HFT infrastructure push beyond crypto
Drama & Shenanigans
Bybit sues North Korea over $1.5B hack, wins order freezing assets
French tax data leak raises risk of crypto-targeted wrench attacks
Project Highlight
Castle TechnologiesMoni Score396WebsiteMoni's Review/Opinion:Castle Technologies helps firms convert opaque macro and operational exposures into tradable, parametric protections, and this week they published a long thread explaining their mission and a CNBC-exclusive case study of a trade done with Susquehanna and Kalshi.
CT discussion around it noted Castle raised $7.5M led by Ribbit Capital, with backing from Jump Crypto and SV Angel.
Prodigy Research (YC S26)Moni Score355WebsiteMoni's Review/Opinion:Prodigy Research is an AI-driven trading research lab that surfaced publicly as a YC S26-backed quant research outfit, and this week they were featured in an early-projects roundup on X that listed them alongside other native-market plays.
CT discussion around it included a public mention by ustyianskyi highlighting Prodigy Research as an AI quant research lab backed by Y Combinator.
StackersMoni Score348WebsiteMoni's Review/Opinion:Stackers is a 3,000‑NFT collection that accrues tokenized stocks and uses $STACK for on‑chain fusion and mechanics; this week they launched staking so users can lock $STACK to boost every Stacker’s earnings and added a new dashboard showing multipliers, next payout and vault value. They also rolled claiming fixes, reopened Discord, and published multiple payout and burn tallies during the initial runs.
Market cap: $89.4K -> $577.5K (+546.3%). CT discussion noted the project as an NFT+stocks gamble with slow mint pace mentioned by some users.
FWAPMoni Score337WebsiteMoni's Review/Opinion:FWAP runs shared pools where users deposit FWA‑allowlisted NFTs paired with ETH so buyers receive a randomly selected NFT backed by ETH; this week they published that Crypto Citizens and other FWAs are now supported on the FWAPHouse site.
CT discussion around it noted the protocol’s random selection uses Chainlink VRF and that deposited NFTs carry ETH backing which affects selection odds.
motion tip botMoni Score291WebsiteMoni's Review/Opinion:motion tip bot mints and routes daily $MOTION tip credit on X so users can reward creators by replying with an @tipmotion command; this week they announced an upgrade so tips land in under five seconds (bot may lag under load).
CT discussion around it reported active usage since release, with one user saying they’d tipped hundreds of dollars using the bot.
The BanditsMoni Score246WebsiteMoni's Review/Opinion:A 10,000-NFT on-chain game where players assemble crews of Bandits to run heists and claim territory; this week the team posted a character tease asking the community which Bandit 'would snitch'. CT discussion around it included recommendations to join the whitelist and several community members naming the project among NFTs they’re watching.
ManletMoni Score189WebsiteMoni's Review/Opinion:Manlet is a Solana meme token project that pairs MANLET with ANSEM and uses pool fees for automatic ANSEM buybacks, and this week they tweeted they are now approaching 250k worth of ANSEM buybacks and pledged to reach 1m soon.
Market cap: $5.4M -> $3.3M (-39.0%).
The Doll ClubMoni Score180WebsiteMoni's Review/Opinion:The Doll Club is an upcoming NFT drop on Robinhood by creator Sunonphyse focused on a collectible free-mint experience. This week they posted a sneak-peek teaser saying a preview is coming tomorrow.
CT discussion around it described the drop as a free mint on Robinhood and suggested Overnads holders may be whitelisted.
BucketShopMoni Score162WebsiteMoni's Review/Opinion:BucketShop tokenizes bundled stocks and crypto into tradable Buckets and runs prediction and trivia mechanics to fund distributions; this week they officially started distributing NET and ETH to Bucket holders and announced daily Trivia (Bucket Arena).
Market cap: $469.5K -> $253.7K (-46.0%).
omoMoni Score152WebsiteMoni's Review/Opinion:An autonomous trading agent on Solana that publishes live thoughts and wallet activity; they announced they were withdrawing participation for a moment and began posting a series of short, silent/reflective tweets. The account paused active engagement while sharing several tweets about silence and stepping back.
Market cap: $255.7K -> $236.0K (-7.7%).
Loser of the Week
The Wolf PackMoni Score277WebsiteMoni's Review/Opinion:The Wolf Pack is a sealed meme-token experiment with locked liquidity and scheduled harvests that route most fees to burn/buyback; this week they posted burn updates, reported cumulative burned supply, and ran a community meme contest with prize payouts. They also shared listing acknowledgements for exchanges and ongoing burn/buyback metrics.
Market cap: $4.7M -> $1.3M (-73.5%).
ChameleonMoni Score166WebsiteMoni's Review/Opinion:Chameleon is a Solana meme token whose holders can burn a fixed portion of supply to change the token’s on‑chain name, ticker and image; they posted that "Our Solana HERO is back" this week. Their feed otherwise emphasized the skin-change mechanic and low current cost to change the token skin in pinned posts.
Market cap: $2.0M -> $50.9K (-97.5%).
Equity BrokersMoni Score120WebsiteMoni's Review/Opinion:Equity Brokers is a pack‑opening marketplace that mints sealed, numbered slabs containing tokenized real-equity shares; they opened the pack shop and are actively selling stock packs with published odds and numbered slabs. This week they announced 24/7 availability and that 90% of protocol revenue flows into $EQUITY buybacks and burns while showing early high-volume pulls in real-time posts.
Market cap: $419.5K -> $19.9K (-95.3%). CT discussion around it includes questions about whether the packs are priced correctly.
GTA CoinMoni Score90WebsiteMoni's Review/Opinion:GTA Coin is a Solana token used as the in‑game currency for a modded GTA V server where NFT ownership represents in‑game businesses; this week they opened the NFT marketplace for selling in‑game assets and announced imminent full player listings plus a live tournament and FiveM listing steps. They also posted that a 10% burn mechanism will apply to marketplace purchases and promoted a $5,000 tournament event.
Market cap: $284.3K -> $25.1K (-91.2%). CT discussion included a thread describing the claimed integration of a crypto economy into a GTA multiplayer environment.
Trump StrategyMoni Score89WebsiteMoni's Review/Opinion:A memecoin experiment that routes trading fees into periodic $DJT payouts for holders via an on-chain flywheel; this week the account reported the system confirming 15,000+ payments since launch and multiple DJT airdrop notices to holders. Market cap: $211.8K -> $99.0K (-53.2%).
Probably Sheet
Name | Segment | Network | Moni Score | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
NFT | Robinhood | Not launched | ||
Meme | Solana | Launched | ||
- | - | Launched | ||
Meme | Solana | Launched | ||
NFT | Ethereum | Not launched | ||
GameFi | Ethereum | Not launched | ||
NFT | - | Not launched | ||
DeFi | - | Not launched | ||
RWA | - | Not launched | ||
NFT | - | Not launched | ||
NFT | - | Not launched | ||
NFT | Ethereum | Not launched | ||
NFT | Ethereum | Not launched | ||
Meme | BNB Chain | Launched | ||
NFT | - | Not launched | ||
Meme | Solana | Launched | ||
DeFi | Robinhood | Launched | ||
Meme | Solana | Launched |
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