Writing
Research, reports, and notes from the MONI writing desk.
Weekly Alpha Recap #191 | 27 July–2 August
Bitcoin ETFs end inflow streak as Fed rate concerns mount. 17 project highlights and 40+ projects in the Probably sheet.
Weekly Alpha Recap #190 | 20–26 July
Hyperliquid to enable permissionless deployment of HIP-4 outcome markets on testnet before mainnet. 10 project highlights and 31 projects in the Probably sheet.
Axis
A yield-bearing dollar token, powered by a veteran trading team running low-risk arbitrage across exchanges.
Fact Machine
Opinion markets let you trade not on what will happen, but on what people will believe. The crowd becomes the oracle, rewarding those who can read collective sentiment.
Weekly Alpha Recap #189 | 13–19 July
Institutional adoption of digital assets accelerated as Circle secured a national trust bank charter and the DTCC initiated production tokenized trades with major financial firms.
After Tokenization
RWA trading already does serious volume. The harder part is turning tokenized assets into liquid markets that support borrowing, collateral, and hedging.
Weekly Alpha Recap #188 | 6 June –12 July
This week: Coinbase and Kraken pushed deeper into banking, the SEC teased friendlier crypto rules, Tether and Ondo expanded, and BonkDAO lost $20M.
Weekly Alpha Recap #187 | 29 June – 5 July
Regulation set the tone this week, but stablecoins, tokenized equities and on-chain treasury plays kept crypto’s risk engine running hot.
NFTX
Moving from simple floor liquidity to pricing an entire NFT collection through a shared liquidity layer feels like the natural next step for NFT-Fi.
Robinhood Chain
A rare setup where distribution, real-world assets, and DeFi infrastructure arrive together before the wider market has fully noticed.
Fake World Assets
A clever TokenWorks experiment turning odd NFT inventory and standing ETH bids into a real market question. Still early, but the mechanism has teeth.
Weekly Alpha Recap #186 | 22 – 28 June
TradFi keeps coming on-chain: stablecoins, RWAs, tokenized stocks, prediction markets while MEV bots, bridges and governance remind CT why risk never sleeps.
Tori Finance
A synthetic dollar targeting 15% from an institutional, market-neutral trading book, backed by Delphi and independently monitored by RockawayX. $49M in and growing.
Ritual
Agent-native chain turning model calls, scheduling, private execution and proofs into native primitives.
Weekly Alpha Recap #185 | 15 – 21 June
A volatile week for crypto: markets bounced, regulation stayed active, tokenization and AI gained momentum, while exploits and prediction-market drama kept risk firmly in focus.
3Jane
The bet is bigger than a better Aave: turn fintech credit into crypto-native liabilities, route them through DeFi, and coordinate the system through JANE.
Pixie Chess
Pixie Chess turns NFTs into playable, burnable chess pieces funding ETH prizes. Strong crypto-game loop, but durability depends on retention, anti-cheat, trust, and real demand.
Mantle
Mantle's best pitch is not cheaper blockspace. It is a chain built around what onchain finance usually lacks: assets, liquidity, execution, incentives, and access in one place.
Suzi
SendAI wants to compress a trader's twelve-tab mess into one generated instrument. Real team, real wedge, thin public proof. Here's where Suzi actually stands.
Weekly Alpha Recap #184 | 8 – 14 June
BTC treasuries grew, ETFs bled, Hyperliquid stayed hot, RWA demand spiked, and DeFi faced fresh hacks, liquidity scares, and AI-wallet/infra launches.
RoboStrategy: nobody cares about robots
A clever little closed-end fund that opens up private robotics like Figure AI and Apptronik to public investors. It's really selling access, not robots.
Proof
Trades not whether an event happens, but what an asset is worth if it does. Sharp primitive, early signal, but no live-market proof yet.
Weekly Alpha Recap #183 | 1 – 7 June
Stablecoins, Hyperliquid, exploits, prediction markets and AI infra dominated the week. Institutions kept moving in, while degens got more drama, drains and depegs.
Elara Finance
A team that can build a money market is launching its most trust-heavy product — yield-stable elUSD — with near-zero disclosure. Rich past, thin present. We break down the gap.
Weekly Alpha Recap #182 | 25 May – 31 May
Stablecoins, prediction markets and AI-agent rails keep getting built out by big players, while the long tail of new launches is mostly perps wrappers and agent demos.
Osero
A distribution wrapper for Sky, dressed up as infrastructure. The legal entity is doing more work than the SDK. Worth watching.
Hypernova
Moving the prop firm onchain via Hyperliquid. $3M from Lemniscap, addresses published, contracts unverified. The framing is ahead of the proof.
Pluralis
One of the few crypto-AI projects where the research proof is ahead of the token proof. That makes it more interesting than the average DeAI pitch, and harder to underwrite cleanly
Weekly Alpha Recap #181 | 18 May – 24 May
Institutional rails keep thickening — tokenization, stablecoin frameworks, Hyperliquid and BTC treasuries are moving fast. Most new launches are still pre-product narrative.
Weekly Alpha Recap #180 | 11 May – 17 May
Crypto keeps shifting toward institutional rails: stablecoins, tokenized assets, Hyperliquid, AI infra, and better UX dominate while most new launches are still pure narrative.
The Other Sui
The DeFi side tells one story. The consumer side tells another: different apps, different users, different scale. Same chain, but almost no overlap.
Uni v4 Hooks: powering the next degen cycle?
Uniswap v4 hooks turn swaps into programmable mechanics: bonding curves, NFT generation, games, dynamic fees, yield routing, and fully hook-native assets.
Sui
Spent time digging into Sui, from TVL and stablecoins to BTCfi and ecosystem flows. Wrote a breakdown on what’s actually happening beyond price action.
The Stablecoin Power Grab
How stablecoins, fintech, and the agent economy are converging into a new money stack, and where value will actually accrue
Bittensor: Current State
Structural analysis of TAO subnet incentive alignment, validator economics, and competitive dynamics.
ZERO: from pipes to city
How ZERO is evolving from infrastructure substrate into a composable execution environment.
FX100
FX100 aims to remove standard perp liquidations via embedded options protection and tranche-based liquidity. Strong concept, but specs and stress tests are still missing.
Inside the ICM Mindset
From ICO chaos to ICM, same degen appetite, just with better rails. Liquidity locks, onchain governance, and fairer mechanics replaced pure speculation.
Makina Finance
Makina builds cross-chain DeFi execution infra: Machines, MT shares, operators, risk caps and CCQ accounting. Strong design, but audits, live usage and $MAK value capture still nee






































